Estimating Taxes

One of the exercises I do is periodically calculate my estimated tax bill for the coming year to fine-tune my withholdings.  Now there are several easy ways to do this.  If you used a tax program to do taxes the previous year, you can make a new tax return with rough numbers for next year and you will be just a bit over (inflation decreases nominal taxes paid).  There are also online tools to estimate taxes:

http://turbotax.intuit.com/tax-tools/calculators/taxcaster/
http://www.calcxml.com/do/inc02
http://www.dinkytown.net/java/Tax1040.html

But what if you want to estimate past taxes paid?  I ran into this question when auditing my past spending and savings.  While I do a much better job of tracking my finances today, my older numbers are mostly guesses and my older tax returns are sitting in boxes in storage.  However, I do have records of my investment transactions and the annual Social Security+Medicare earnings record.  And from this, I could in theory estimate spending with the formula:

SPENDING = EARNINGS - TAXES PAID - SAVINGS

Luckily, my taxes were pretty straightforward as I have yet to claim a mortgage deduction.  (I have a rental property which means it's slotted as an investment expense instead of a personal deduction.)  This means the only possible itemized deduction I could have taken was for state taxes so we have the following sequence:

1) Calculate State Taxes
2) If State Taxes > Standard Deduction, Use State Taxes, Otherwise Standard Deduction

The state of California keeps their older forms online at http://www.ftb.ca.gov/forms/priorYR.shtml.  To calculate taxes, I grabbed the following info for the past years -- standard deduction, personal exemptions and tax rate schedule.  Then I set up formulas in OpenOffice for each year like so:

A1 = 1996 (year)
A2 = $2527 (standard deduction single)
A3 = $66 (personal exemption credit)
A4 = 1 (number of adult exemption credits)
A5 = $106 (child exemption credit)
A6 = 0 (number of child exemption credits)
A7 = $25484 (tax threshold)
A8 = 8% (tax rate above threshold)
A9 = $880.18 (cumulative tax below threshold)
A10 = $40000 (income)
A11 = $5000 (401K/IRA deductions)
A12 = ((A10-A11-A2*A4) - A7) * A8 + A9 - A3*A4 - A5*A6

The federal formulas are similar except the personal exemptions are deductions instead of credits.  A good place to get consolidated prior year tax info is at http://www.unclefed.com/IRS-Forms/index.html.

B2 = $4000 (standard deduction single)
B3 = $2550 (personal exemption credit)
B4 = 1 (number of exemption credits)
B5 = $1000 (child tax credit)
B6 = 0 (number of child exemption credits)
B7 = $0 (tax threshold)
B8 = 15% (tax rate above threshold)
B9 = $0 (cumulative tax below threshold)
B12 = ((A10-A11-IF(A12>B2;A12;B2)-B3*B4) - B7) * B8 + B9 - B5*B6

The formula looks pretty similar except for the IF(A12>B2; A12; B2).  This says if A12 (state taxes) is larger than B2 (standard deduction), use A12 (state taxes) -- otherwise use B2 (standard deduction).

Now for both state and federal tax rate schedules, I took a short-cut and eye-balled the charts to find out where my income fell before setting up the formulas.  You can make formulas that handle all income ranges with the following:

IF(income < bracket1; income * 0.10;
  IF(income < bracket2; (income - bracket2) * 0.15 + cumulative2;
    IF(income < bracket3; (income - bracket3) * 0.25 + cumulative3;
      IF(income < bracket4; (income - bracket4) * 0.28 + cumulative4;
        IF(income < bracket5; (income - bracket5) * 0.33 + cumulative5;
          (income - bracket6) * 0.35 + cumulative6
        )
      )
    )
  )
)

The formula will get very complicated very quick but is doable if you pay careful attention to the embedded parenthesis.  For my own purposes, it seemed like wasted effort since I don't need to know "what if I made more money in the past or what if I was married with kids in the past?"


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Auditing Past Savings Rate from Business is Personal (Finance) on December 17, 2010 4:50 AM

I'm not much into tracking expenses.  I've been mostly using the "pay yourself" strategy where you automatically put money away and then live on what's left over. While this has worked very well for me, I really don't know how... Read More

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